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Popular Pokémon cards not worth grading

Popular doesn’t always mean profitable. These are well-traded cards (ungraded $10 or more) where, on average, grading with PSA (at the fee tier the card’s value requires) nets you LESS than just selling the card raw — fees and all, even counting the odds of a 10. The break-even column is how often you’d need to pull a 10 for grading to pay off; hold it up against PSA’s own population report and judge for yourself whether your copy is that good.

Updated 6 October 2026 from recorded sales. Prices in USD.

#CardUngradedPSA 10Profit / cardBreak-even 10 ratePSA pop 10 rate
1Pikachu 160Crown Zenith · EN$43.40$222−$8.7340%53%
2Kyurem EX 165Black Bolt · EN$69.99$219−$13.2152%65%
3Pikachu ex 247Surging Sparks · EN$64.00$275−$16.9934%38%
4Ethan's Typhlosion 190Destined Rivals · EN$22.51$344−$2.5319%27%
5Umbreon V 244VMAX Climax · JP$34.90$103−$26.93>100%85%
6Inteleon VMAX 266Fusion Strike · EN$25.70$92.25−$35.26>100%70%
7Arceus & Dialga & Palkia-GX 156Cosmic Eclipse · EN$20.00$120−$29.6468%42%
8Rayquaza 138Vivid Voltage · EN$17.18$104−$30.9284%60%
9Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX 69Hidden Fates · EN$45.72$110−$44.05>100%64%
10Pikachu (Master Ball) 25Pokemon 151 · JP$263$676−$32.0922%20%
11Sylveon (Master Ball) 68Terastal Festival · JP$22.00$77.07−$35.11>100%89%
12Leafeon (Master Ball) 2Terastal Festival · JP$13.77$65.22−$38.86>100%87%
13Marnie's Pride 171Brilliant Stars · EN$12.49$69.99−$42.40>100%51%
14Lt. Surge's Bargain 185Mega Evolution · EN$15.50$84.53−$41.95>100%50%
15Lisia's Appeal 246Surging Sparks · EN$27.00$115−$49.8284%29%
16Walking Wake ex 205Temporal Forces · EN$40.00$145−$53.1569%100%
17Jasmine's Gaze 245Surging Sparks · EN$19.99$79.47−$51.71>100%30%
18Chatot 181Temporal Forces · EN$10.20$95.02−$37.6486%43%
19Galarian Moltres V 183Brilliant Stars · EN$16.30$85.00−$35.32>100%56%
20Blaziken V TG14Silver Tempest · EN$24.99$95.50−$36.55>100%67%
21Mimikyu VMAX TG17Brilliant Stars · EN$42.00$130−$27.2084%73%
22Glaceon VSTAR GG40Crown Zenith · EN$54.99$148−$38.6981%57%
23Team Rocket's Mewtwo EX 213Destined Rivals · EN$22.89$129−$18.1165%65%
24Team Rocket's Ariana 237Destined Rivals · EN$23.99$74.00−$49.26>100%50%
25Peonia 082Jet-Black Spirit · JP$12.61$49.82−$43.02>100%81%
26Hydrapple ex 167Stellar Crown · EN$21.46$81.00−$48.75>100%42%
27Iron Leaves ex 203Temporal Forces · EN$26.82$99.99−$59.60>100%100%
28Arbok 176Temporal Forces · EN$18.79$90.00−$43.84>100%46%
29Cinccino 183Temporal Forces · EN$24.80$94.50−$48.61>100%49%
30Serena 193Silver Tempest · EN$13.50$84.95−$37.48>100%55%
31Glaceon VMAX 208Evolving Skies · EN$29.99$100−$33.35>100%76%
32Mimikyu V 233VMAX Climax · JP$25.38$105−$16.5089%82%
33Espeon (Master Ball) 62Terastal Festival · JP$18.05$65.16−$37.02>100%89%
34Medicham V 186Evolving Skies · EN$19.99$94.00−$36.81100%62%
35Pikachu 400SM-P Promotional Cards · JP$3,227$3,763−$80594%77%
36Regidrago V 184Silver Tempest · EN$24.23$90.00−$35.77>100%69%
37Glaceon (Master Ball) 40Terastal Festival · JP$11.47$50.00−$41.76>100%85%
38Lugia V 185Silver Tempest · EN$15.75$120−$25.3267%54%
39Zacian V 211Sword & Shield · EN$17.50$80.02−$33.10>100%80%
40Elesa's Sparkle 147Crown Zenith · EN$15.99$57.00−$51.05>100%51%
41Hydreigon ex 240Surging Sparks · EN$35.40$145−$38.4866%37%
42Charizard VMAX 20Darkness Ablaze · EN$39.39$145−$17.3868%72%
43Seismitoad 109Black Bolt · JP$46.21$155−$4.8863%88%
44Lacey 175Prismatic Evolutions · EN$25.00$80.00−$55.62>100%30%
45Arven's Mabosstiff EX 235Destined Rivals · EN$25.99$91.00−$41.85>100%60%
46Glaceon V 076Eevee Heroes · JP$11.26$50.04−$38.95>100%87%
47Marnie 200Sword & Shield · EN$32.00$102−$40.25>100%57%
48Charizard & Braixen-GX 22Cosmic Eclipse · EN$27.23$213−$1.4834%50%
49Umbreon V 084Eevee Heroes · JP$36.10$128−$21.7081%81%
50Genesect V 255Fusion Strike · EN$24.99$134−$31.5766%47%

How we calculate it

Prices. Medians of recent recorded sales for each grade from eBay, Yahoo! Auctions JP and Mercari, converted to USD. Grades are never mixed. Every price counts only sales whose listing confirms this exact card, and the rankings go further still — a card only makes a “highest” or “lowest” list with enough independent evidence and a sane price ladder, so one stray listing can’t hijack the top spot. When a grade has no recorded sales we show a price-guide reference or an estimate, and label it.

Chances. We start from PSA’s population report for this exact card. Pop reports overstate the 10 rate, because people only send the copies they think are perfect. So our default takes about two thirds (65%) of the reported gem rate. Move the slider if your copy is flawless or off-centre.

Costs. PSA’s fee for the tier the card’s value at each grade requires (Standard covers up to $1,000; a $4,000 PSA 10 goes in at Super Express), plus about $15 shipping to PSA, $22 insured return and $5 of sleeves and supplies, split across the cards in your order. Selling fees (eBay: 13.25% + $0.40) come off every sale, raw or graded.

The answer. Expected value of grading minus what you’d net selling it raw today. The break-even gem rate is the chance of a 10 at which the two are equal. The PSA 9 check asks whether a 9 alone would still pay for itself.