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SIOIOSIKIS

Should I Open It Or Should I Keep It Sealed?

Every booster box, pack and Elite Trainer Box we can price, against the estimated value of the cards inside after selling fees. Each product shows its expected value (the average over many rips); the ranking and the verdict use it. The product page also shows what a typical rip looks like. 1× means ripping it pays back exactly its price. Pick a product to open it pack by pack with real cards.

Pull rates are estimated from opening tallies, not official odds. Card prices as of 2026-10-05.

Products priced
124
with solid data
Worth ripping today
0 at market · 41 at launch price
expected value of the cards inside ≥ what you pay (124 with a known launch price)
Closest to a rip
0.63×
Phantasmal Flames (Inferno X) (Japanese) booster box · $83.06

Every box and pack, ranked

Tap a product for the verdict, your odds of a big pull and a pack-by-pack simulator with real cards.

  1. Phantasmal Flames (Inferno X)Japanese · Booster box · 2025Best pull: Mega Charizard X ex $4960.63×Worth more sealed
  2. Nihil ZeroJapanese · Booster box · 2026Best pull: Zygarde $83.770.59×Worth more sealed
  3. Perfect OrderEnglish · Booster box · 2026Best pull: Mega Zygarde EX $1380.59×Worth more sealed
  4. Storm EmeraldaJapanese · Booster box · 2026Best pull: Mega Rayquaza ex $3740.59×Worth more sealed
  5. Pokemon 151Japanese · Booster box · 2023Best pull: Gengar (Master Ball) $4320.55×Worth more sealed
  6. Chaos RisingEnglish · Booster pack · 2026Best pull: Mega Greninja EX $2940.54×Worth more sealed
  7. Pokemon 151Japanese · Booster pack · 2023Best pull: Gengar (Master Ball) $4320.54×Worth more sealed
  8. Chaos RisingEnglish · Booster box · 2026Best pull: Mega Greninja EX $2940.51×Worth more sealed
  9. VMAX ClimaxJapanese · Booster pack · 2021Best pull: Pikachu VMAX $77.420.50×Worth more sealed
  10. Chaos RisingEnglish · Booster bundle · 2026Best pull: Mega Greninja EX $2940.47×Worth more sealed
  11. Ascended HeroesEnglish · Booster bundle · 2026Best pull: Pikachu EX $8900.46×Worth more sealed
  12. Storm EmeraldaJapanese · Booster pack · 2026Best pull: Mega Rayquaza ex $3740.46×Worth more sealed
  13. Ascended HeroesEnglish · Booster pack · 2026Best pull: Pikachu EX $8900.45×Worth more sealed
  14. Perfect OrderEnglish · Booster pack · 2026Best pull: Mega Zygarde EX $1380.44×Worth more sealed
  15. Heat Wave ArenaJapanese · Booster box · 2025Best pull: Cynthia's Garchomp ex $1970.44×Worth more sealed
  16. Mega Evolution (Mega Brave)Japanese · Booster pack · 2025Best pull: Mega Lucario ex $1760.44×Worth more sealed
  17. Twilight MasqueradeEnglish · Booster bundle · 2024Best pull: Greninja ex $3250.44×Worth more sealed
  18. Ninja SpinnerJapanese · Booster box · 2026Best pull: Mega Greninja Ex $2230.43×Worth more sealed
  19. Snow HazardJapanese · Booster box · 2023Best pull: Chien-Pao ex $18.100.43×Worth more sealed
  20. Terastal FestivalJapanese · Booster box · 2024Best pull: Umbreon ex $2470.43×Worth more sealed

How we work it out

Card prices. Every card is valued at the median of its recent confirmed sales (eBay, Yahoo! Auctions JP, Mercari, TCGplayer), ungraded, converted to USD. A card with no recent sales has no price (never $0). For each rarity tier we leave out cards priced far outside the rest (a single mispriced chase card can’t move it) and take the median of the others, with the lower and upper quartile as the cheaper and pricier ends. A tier is priced from its cards only when at least 30% of them have a price; otherwise it counts as bulk. Each product page says how many cards had a price and the date the prices were taken.

What’s inside (estimated). Japanese boxes follow per-box hit counts from large opening tallies (hundreds of boxes per set), because Japanese boxes are close to guaranteed. English products use published pull rates per pack, because English boxes have no guarantees. Both are estimates from tallies and published rates, not official odds.

The answer. Cards inside = copies you expect of each rarity × its price, plus bulk, minus 12% selling fees, everything sold raw. The verdict uses this average over many rips, chase cards included. As extra information we also show a typical rip, computed with each tier’s cheaper end, median and pricier end (pessimistic, typical, optimistic). We compare it to the sealed price (PriceCharting sold prices, refreshed weekly; where there are too few sales, a dated shop or market reference price) and to the launch price where we know it. Japanese prices are converted at the latest ECB exchange rate.

The odds. Averages hide the spread: most boxes return less than the average, a few return far more. Each product page simulates thousands of boxes with real cards to show your chance of breaking even and of a jackpot.

Not advice. Prices move, reprints happen, and your copies may not be pack-fresh. Use the numbers to decide how you want to enjoy the hobby, not as an investment guarantee.